Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 70.05%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 11.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 0-1 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
Larne	Draw	Newry City AFC
70.05% ( 0.09)	18.33% ( -0.02)	11.63% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 47.37% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.6% (

-0.12)

43.4% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.21% (

-0.12)

65.8% (

0.12)

Larne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.81% (

-0.01)

11.2% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.29% (

-0.02)

35.71% (

0.03)

Newry City AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.35% (

-0.2)

46.66% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.78% (

-0.15)

82.23% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Larne 70.04%

Newry City AFC 11.63%

Draw 18.33%

Larne	Draw	Newry City AFC
2-0 @ 12.52% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 11.43% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.67% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.64% Total : 70.04%	1-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.75% Total : 18.33%	0-1 @ 3.98% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 11.63%