SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Linfield had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Linfield win was 1-0 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Linfield | Draw | Larne |
33.68% ( 1.16) | 26.4% ( 0.17) | 39.92% ( -1.33) |
| Both teams to score 52.55% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.84% ( -0.43) | 52.16% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.13% ( -0.37) | 73.87% ( 0.37) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.69% ( 0.55) | 29.31% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.72% ( 0.66) | 65.28% ( -0.66) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.34% ( -0.89) | 25.66% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.44% ( -1.23) | 60.56% ( 1.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Linfield | Draw | Larne |
| 1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.5% Total : 33.68% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 10.23% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.4% Total : 39.92% |
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