SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Carrick Rangers | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Newry City AFC | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 11 | Dungannon Swifts | 3 | -7 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Linfield | 2 | 6 | 6 |
| 5 | Crusaders | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Cliftonville | 3 | 0 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 43.01%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Crusaders in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Crusaders |
32.14% ( -0.49) | 24.85% ( -0.1) | 43.01% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 57.22% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.1% ( 0.26) | 45.91% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.79% ( 0.25) | 68.22% ( -0.25) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.78% ( -0.18) | 27.22% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.36% ( -0.24) | 62.65% ( 0.24) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.63% ( 0.39) | 21.38% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.64% ( 0.59) | 54.36% ( -0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Crusaders |
| 2-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 3% Total : 32.14% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.85% | 1-2 @ 9.01% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 8.98% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 4.64% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.55% Total : 43.01% |
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