SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 46.47%. A win for Gornik Zabrze had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Gornik Zabrze win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gornik Zabrze | Draw | Pogon Szczecin |
27.99% ( -0.39) | 25.54% ( 0.04) | 46.47% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 52.65% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.17% ( -0.39) | 50.82% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.29% ( -0.34) | 72.71% ( 0.34) |
| Gornik Zabrze Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.39% ( -0.5) | 32.61% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.85% ( -0.57) | 69.15% ( 0.56) |
| Pogon Szczecin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.13% ( -0.01) | 21.87% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.89% ( -0.01) | 55.11% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gornik Zabrze | Draw | Pogon Szczecin |
| 1-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.57% Total : 27.99% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 9.23% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 8.24% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 4.68% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 46.47% |
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