SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Pogon Szczecin had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Pogon Szczecin win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lech Poznan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Pogon Szczecin |
39.78% ( -0.15) | 26.2% ( 0.03) | 34.02% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 53.27% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.73% ( -0.1) | 51.27% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.9% ( -0.09) | 73.1% ( 0.09) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.67% ( -0.13) | 25.33% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.89% ( -0.17) | 60.11% ( 0.17) |
| Pogon Szczecin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.34% ( 0.03) | 28.66% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.52% ( 0.03) | 64.47% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Pogon Szczecin |
| 1-0 @ 9.97% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 39.78% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 34.02% |
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