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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham Under-21s win with a probability of 51.14%. A win for Crystal Palace Under-21s had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.66%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Crystal Palace Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace Under-21s | Draw | Fulham Under-21s |
26.48% ( -0.23) | 22.38% ( 0.02) | 51.14% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 62.1% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.2% ( -0.29) | 37.8% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.95% ( -0.31) | 60.05% ( 0.31) |
| Crystal Palace Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.06% ( -0.31) | 26.94% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.73% ( -0.41) | 62.27% ( 0.41) |
| Fulham Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85% ( -0.03) | 15% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.55% ( -0.06) | 43.45% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace Under-21s | Draw | Fulham Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.03% Total : 26.48% | 1-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.37% | 1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 6.03% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.6% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.86% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.09% Other @ 4.08% Total : 51.15% |
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