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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City Under-21s win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City Under-21s | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s |
45.34% ( -0.63) | 23.56% ( 0.11) | 31.1% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 61.28% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.63% ( -0.28) | 40.37% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.25% ( -0.29) | 62.75% ( 0.3) |
| Leicester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.89% ( -0.36) | 18.11% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.95% ( -0.63) | 49.05% ( 0.63) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.83% ( 0.18) | 25.17% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.11% ( 0.25) | 59.89% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City Under-21s | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.69% Total : 45.34% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 7.41% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 31.1% |
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