Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-23s win with a probability of 74.15%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Everton Under-23s had a probability of 10.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-23s win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 3-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.97%), while for a Everton Under-23s win it was 1-2 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-23s would win this match.
