SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-21s win with a probability of 48.48%. A win for Everton Under-21s had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.39%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Everton Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | Everton Under-21s |
48.48% ( 0.27) | 22.02% ( 0.07) | 29.5% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 65.99% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.23% ( -0.56) | 33.77% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.39% ( -0.63) | 55.61% ( 0.64) |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.56% ( -0.11) | 14.43% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.62% ( -0.22) | 42.37% ( 0.22) |
| Everton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.12% ( -0.48) | 22.88% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.37% ( -0.71) | 56.62% ( 0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | Everton Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.54% Total : 48.48% | 1-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.02% | 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.59% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.11% Total : 29.5% |
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