SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Chaves |
37.98% ( -1.29) | 26.68% ( -0.23) | 35.33% ( 1.53) |
| Both teams to score 51.88% ( 0.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.87% ( 1.13) | 53.13% ( -1.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.29% ( 0.95) | 74.7% ( -0.95) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.82% ( -0.19) | 27.18% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.41% ( -0.26) | 62.59% ( 0.26) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.25% ( 1.53) | 28.75% ( -1.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.41% ( 1.86) | 64.59% ( -1.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arouca | Draw | Chaves |
| 1-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.52) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.38)3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.1% Total : 37.98% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.35)2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.24)0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.64% Total : 35.33% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
