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B
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14
Dec 12, 2021 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio do Restelo
E

Belenenses
0 - 1
Estoril


Lukovic (80'), Carraca (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fonte (43')
Carneiro Dias Resende Bruno (89')

We said: Belenenses 1-1 Estoril Praia

Estoril Praia will be seeking to arrest their slump in form and continue their fine start to the season when they face a struggling Belenenses side. The hosts head into the game with in decent form, claiming two wins from their last four games, and we predict they will take a cautious approach to the game and force a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 55.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 20.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.81%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Estoril Praia in this match.

Result
BelenensesDrawEstoril Praia
20.16%24.63%55.21%
Both teams to score 47.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.03%53.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.58%75.42%
Belenenses Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.52%41.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.02%77.98%
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.52%19.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.66%51.34%
Score Analysis
    Belenenses 20.16%
    Estoril Praia 55.2%
    Draw 24.63%
BelenensesDrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 7.11%
2-1 @ 5.12%
2-0 @ 3.13%
3-1 @ 1.5%
3-2 @ 1.23%
3-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 20.16%
1-1 @ 11.63%
0-0 @ 8.08%
2-2 @ 4.19%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 24.63%
0-1 @ 13.21%
0-2 @ 10.81%
1-2 @ 9.51%
0-3 @ 5.9%
1-3 @ 5.19%
0-4 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 2.28%
1-4 @ 2.12%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 55.2%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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