SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 76.27%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 9.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-2 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Casa Pia |
76.27% ( 1.77) | 14.61% ( -1.08) | 9.11% ( -0.69) |
| Both teams to score 51.62% ( 1.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.97% ( 3.16) | 33.03% ( -3.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.24% ( 3.55) | 54.75% ( -3.55) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.85% ( 1.11) | 7.15% ( -1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.98% ( 2.83) | 26.02% ( -2.83) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.59% ( 0.83) | 44.41% ( -0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.54% ( 0.66) | 80.46% ( -0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Casa Pia |
| 2-0 @ 11.04% ( -0.57) 3-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.25)1-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.94)3-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.22)4-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.38)4-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.42)5-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.38)3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.16)5-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.36)4-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.22)6-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.24)6-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.22)5-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.17)Other @ 3.43% Total : 76.26% | 1-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.59) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.56)Other @ 0.99% Total : 14.61% | 1-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.38)0-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.75% Total : 9.12% |
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