Boavista have enjoyed a solid start to the season and will be looking to strengthen their position in the top half of the table. However, they go up against a spirited Sporting Lisbon side who will head into the game full of confidence following their Champions League win over Tottenham. We predict the Leoes will come away with a comfortable victory and leave the hosts red-faced once again.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 61.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 17.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
-0.53) 
0.88) 
