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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Apr 11, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal
B

Braga
1 - 1
Belenenses

Gaitan (36')
Silva (17'), Esgaio (42'), Sporar (53'), Elmusrati (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cassierra (59')
Sousa (30'), Sithole (44'), Silva (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 61.78%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 15.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.57%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
BragaDrawBelenenses
61.78%22.79%15.43%
Both teams to score 43.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.35%53.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.85%75.14%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.06%16.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.98%47.02%
Belenenses Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.91%47.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.45%82.55%
Score Analysis
    Braga 61.78%
    Belenenses 15.43%
    Draw 22.78%
BragaDrawBelenenses
1-0 @ 14.16%
2-0 @ 12.57%
2-1 @ 9.47%
3-0 @ 7.44%
3-1 @ 5.6%
4-0 @ 3.3%
4-1 @ 2.49%
3-2 @ 2.11%
5-0 @ 1.17%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 61.78%
1-1 @ 10.66%
0-0 @ 7.98%
2-2 @ 3.57%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 22.78%
0-1 @ 6.01%
1-2 @ 4.02%
0-2 @ 2.26%
1-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 15.43%

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