SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 6 | 11 | 18 |
| 2 | Braga | 6 | 16 | 16 |
| 3 | Porto | 7 | 11 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Rio Ave | 7 | -3 | 6 |
| 14 | Vizela | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 7 | -3 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 65.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 14.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.61%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Braga in this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Vizela |
65.41% ( -0.51) | 20.24% ( 0.32) | 14.35% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 48.99% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.55% ( -1.02) | 45.45% ( 1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.21% ( -0.98) | 67.78% ( 0.98) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.92% ( -0.46) | 13.08% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.31% ( -0.93) | 39.69% ( 0.94) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.36% ( -0.36) | 43.64% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.18% ( -0.3) | 79.82% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Vizela |
| 2-0 @ 11.8% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 11.61% ( 0.31)2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.93% Total : 65.4% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.85% Total : 20.24% | 0-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 1.43% Total : 14.35% |
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