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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Feb 8, 2021 at 7pm UK
Estadio dos Barreiros
SC

Maritimo
1 - 2
Santa Clara

Joel (61' pen.)
Pelagio (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Crysan (74'), Carlos (78')
Villanueva (59'), Carlos (79'), Mansur (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 45.65%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 25.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.32%) and 1-2 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.

Result
MaritimoDrawSanta Clara
25.97%28.37%45.65%
Both teams to score 43.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.78%62.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.1%81.9%
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.5%40.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.89%77.1%
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.69%27.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.24%62.75%
Score Analysis
    Maritimo 25.97%
    Santa Clara 45.65%
    Draw 28.36%
MaritimoDrawSanta Clara
1-0 @ 10%
2-1 @ 5.87%
2-0 @ 4.52%
3-1 @ 1.77%
3-0 @ 1.36%
3-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 25.97%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 11.05%
2-2 @ 3.81%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 28.36%
0-1 @ 14.35%
0-2 @ 9.32%
1-2 @ 8.42%
0-3 @ 4.03%
1-3 @ 3.64%
2-3 @ 1.65%
0-4 @ 1.31%
1-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 45.65%

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