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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 21, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio da Capital do Móvel
B

Pacos de Ferreira
1 - 2
Braga

Holsgrove (68')
Carlos (38'), Marafona (84')
de Brito Gonzaga (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Oliveira (58'), Banza (90+8')
Sequeira (20'), Horta (38'), Oliveira (81'), Santos (90+11'), Santos (90+10')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 1-0 Boavista
Saturday, January 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Pacos de Ferreira 1-3 Braga

In the presence of UEFA-designated tournaments since 2004-05, we predict that Braga will continue their aspirations of not only once gracing both domestic and continental engagements but keep their dream of winning their first-ever Primeira Liga title alive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 58.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 19.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.09%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Pacos de FerreiraDrawBraga
19.47% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05) 22.35% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 58.17% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Both teams to score 52.91% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.29% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)45.71% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.97% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)68.03% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.55% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)37.45% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.77% (-0.081 -0.08)74.23% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.59% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)15.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)44.23% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Pacos de Ferreira 19.47%
    Braga 58.17%
    Draw 22.35%
Pacos de FerreiraDrawBraga
1-0 @ 5.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-1 @ 5.21% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 19.47%
1-1 @ 10.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.77% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.35%
0-1 @ 10.79% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 10.09% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 6.29% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-4 @ 1.42% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-5 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 58.17%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rio Ave 0-1 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, January 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-1 Chaves
Sunday, January 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Thursday, December 29 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 2-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Sunday, December 11 at 7pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Trofense 1-1 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, December 3 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-1 Casa Pia
Sunday, November 20 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Braga 1-0 Boavista
Saturday, January 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 3-2 Guimaraes
Wednesday, January 11 at 6.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Santa Clara 0-4 Braga
Thursday, January 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 3-0 Benfica
Friday, December 30 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 5-0 Braga
Monday, December 19 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Braga 2-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Sunday, December 11 at 7pm in Taca da Liga


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