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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Portimao
V

Portimonense
0 - 0
Vizela


Cassama (86'), Tornich (87'), Dener (90+8')
Pedrao (69')
FT

Escoval (38')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 4-0 Portimonense
Sunday, February 25 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 3-3 Estoril
Sunday, February 25 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Portimonense 1-1 Vizela

Given the stakes of Sunday's result, we expect Portimonense and Vizela to take a cautious approach to this one as they look to avoid dropping more points. We predict that both sides will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
PortimonenseDrawVizela
34.29% (-1.473 -1.47) 27.28% (0.0010000000000012 0) 38.43% (1.474 1.47)
Both teams to score 49.88% (-0.143 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.4% (-0.117 -0.12)55.6% (0.117 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.23% (-0.096 -0.1)76.77% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.37% (-0.992 -0.99)30.63% (0.992 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.13% (-1.189 -1.19)66.87% (1.191 1.19)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.9% (0.809 0.81)28.1% (-0.81 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.23% (1.017 1.02)63.77% (-1.016 -1.02)
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 34.29%
    Vizela 38.42%
    Draw 27.27%
PortimonenseDrawVizela
1-0 @ 10.18% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-1 @ 7.65% (-0.215 -0.22)
2-0 @ 6.03% (-0.311 -0.31)
3-1 @ 3.02% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-0 @ 2.38% (-0.192 -0.19)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 34.29%
1-1 @ 12.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.61% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 10.92% (0.29 0.29)
1-2 @ 8.2% (0.181 0.18)
0-2 @ 6.93% (0.337 0.34)
1-3 @ 3.47% (0.152 0.15)
0-3 @ 2.93% (0.205 0.21)
2-3 @ 2.05% (0.036 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.072 0.07)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 38.42%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Benfica 4-0 Portimonense
Sunday, February 25 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, February 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 3-0 Portimonense
Friday, February 9 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-2 Arouca
Saturday, February 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 1-4 Portimonense
Sunday, January 28 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 0-2 Gil Vicente
Sunday, January 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 3-3 Estoril
Sunday, February 25 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 6-1 Vizela
Sunday, February 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-1 Vizela
Tuesday, February 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 1-2 Benfica
Thursday, February 8 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Vizela 0-1 Guimaraes
Sunday, February 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 5-0 Vizela
Sunday, January 28 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga


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