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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 30, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
B

Porto
1 - 0
Boavista

Taremi (59' pen.)
Taremi (42'), Uribe (84')
Marcano (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Agra (20'), Makouta (25'), Njie (43'), Gorre (90+4'), Perez (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Famalicao 1-2 Porto
Wednesday, April 26 at 8.30pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Boavista 3-2 Rio Ave
Saturday, April 22 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Porto 3-1 Boavista

Boavista have put together a fine run of form and will be looking to end their poor winless run away from home, but Conceicao's men boast the firepower needed to get the job done and we are backing them to keep their title race alive by picking up another victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 84.99%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 4.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 4-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.73%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-2 (1.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawBoavista
84.99% (0.061999999999998 0.06) 10.1% (-0.084999999999999 -0.08) 4.91% (0.024 0.02)
Both teams to score 46.45% (0.681 0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.82% (0.66499999999999 0.66)27.18% (-0.667 -0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.28% (0.834 0.83)47.71% (-0.834 -0.83)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.57% (0.12599999999999 0.13)4.43% (-0.1249 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.76% (0.38800000000001 0.39)18.24% (-0.389 -0.39)
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.61% (0.65 0.65)51.39% (-0.65 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.4% (0.425 0.42)85.6% (-0.42500000000001 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Porto 84.98%
    Boavista 4.91%
    Draw 10.1%
PortoDrawBoavista
3-0 @ 11.48% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-0 @ 11.05% (-0.26 -0.26)
4-0 @ 8.95% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.65% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.36% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.1% (-0.227 -0.23)
4-1 @ 5.96% (0.087 0.09)
5-0 @ 5.58% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
5-1 @ 3.71% (0.087 0.09)
6-0 @ 2.9% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.062 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.98% (0.065 0.07)
6-1 @ 1.93% (0.062 0.06)
7-0 @ 1.29% (0.029 0.03)
5-2 @ 1.24% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 4.25%
Total : 84.98%
1-1 @ 4.73% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-2 @ 2.45% (0.038 0.04)
0-0 @ 2.28% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 10.1%
1-2 @ 1.57% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 1.52% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 4.91%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Famalicao 1-2 Porto
Wednesday, April 26 at 8.30pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-2 Porto
Saturday, April 22 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-1 Santa Clara
Saturday, April 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 1-2 Porto
Friday, April 7 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 1-0 Portimonense
Sunday, April 2 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 0-0 Porto
Sunday, March 19 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 3-2 Rio Ave
Saturday, April 22 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 1-1 Boavista
Monday, April 17 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 2-1 Guimaraes
Friday, April 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 4-2 Boavista
Sunday, April 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 1-2 Famalicao
Sunday, March 19 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Boavista
Sunday, March 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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