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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 18, 2019 at 9pm UK
Estádio José Alvalade (Lisboa)
B

2 - 1

Wendel (16'), Fernandes (44')
T (43'), A (61'), Fernandes (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Eduardo (73')
Santos (38'), Alan (66'), Esgaio (82'), Claudemir (90+4'), Horta (90+1')
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Braga.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Braga had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawBraga
40.48%24.62%34.9%
Both teams to score 58.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.91%44.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.53%66.47%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.21%21.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.01%54.99%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.3%24.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.76%59.24%
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 40.48%
    Braga 34.9%
    Draw 24.61%
Sporting LisbonDrawBraga
2-1 @ 8.74%
1-0 @ 8.2%
2-0 @ 6.25%
3-1 @ 4.44%
3-0 @ 3.17%
3-2 @ 3.1%
4-1 @ 1.69%
4-0 @ 1.21%
4-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 40.48%
1-1 @ 11.46%
2-2 @ 6.11%
0-0 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.61%
1-2 @ 8.02%
0-1 @ 7.53%
0-2 @ 5.26%
1-3 @ 3.74%
2-3 @ 2.85%
0-3 @ 2.45%
1-4 @ 1.31%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 34.9%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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