With a successful pre-season in the bank, Sporting look set to begin their 2023-24 Primeira Liga campaign with a comfortable victory over Vizela, who failed to taste victory in 11 of their 17 away league games last term.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 64.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 15.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
-0.25) 
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