Tondela
1 - 3
Porto

Jeronimo (77' pen.)
Alves (45+1'), Jaquite (49'), Xavier (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pereira (47'), Marega (64'), Vieira (90+5' pen.)
Corona (41'), Telles (59'), Uribe (71'), Marega (90+5')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Tondela and Porto.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 66.71%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 12.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.05%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Tondela win it was 1-0 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Tondela	Draw	Porto
12.88%	20.41%	66.71%

Both teams to score 44.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.71%

49.28%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.66%

71.34%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.74%

48.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.58%

83.41%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.11%

13.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.7%

41.3%

Score Analysis

Tondela 12.88%

Porto 66.69%

Draw 20.41%

Tondela	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 4.88% 2-1 @ 3.51% 2-0 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.7% Total : 12.88%	1-1 @ 9.64% 0-0 @ 6.7% 2-2 @ 3.47% Other @ 0.61% Total : 20.41%	0-1 @ 13.22% 0-2 @ 13.05% 1-2 @ 9.52% 0-3 @ 8.6% 1-3 @ 6.26% 0-4 @ 4.24% 1-4 @ 3.09% 2-3 @ 2.28% 0-5 @ 1.68% 1-5 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.41% Total : 66.69%