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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 20
Jan 27, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stadion Aldo Drosina
DZ

Istra 1961
0 - 1
Dinamo Zagreb


Ekong (51'), Petrusenko (51'), Coric (90'), Catala (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Perkovic (36')
Jakirovic (0'), Ristovski (70')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Istra 1961 and Dinamo Zagreb.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 3-0 Istra 1961
Saturday, December 16 at 1.50pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 58.67%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 19.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.39%) and 0-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 2-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.

Result
NK Istra 1961DrawDinamo Zagreb
19.86% (0.13 0.13) 21.47% (0.096 0.1) 58.67% (-0.224 -0.22)
Both teams to score 56.56% (-0.11 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.81% (-0.248 -0.25)41.19% (0.249 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.42% (-0.253 -0.25)63.58% (0.254 0.25)
NK Istra 1961 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.57% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)34.43% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.86% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)71.14% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Dinamo Zagreb Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.26% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)13.74% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.98% (-0.296 -0.3)41.01% (0.297 0.3)
Score Analysis
    NK Istra 1961 19.86%
    Dinamo Zagreb 58.67%
    Draw 21.46%
NK Istra 1961DrawDinamo Zagreb
2-1 @ 5.34% (0.027 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.05% (0.055 0.05)
2-0 @ 2.69% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.9% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 0.96% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 19.86%
1-1 @ 10.01% (0.052 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 4.73% (0.053 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0079999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.46%
1-2 @ 9.94%
0-1 @ 9.39% (0.055 0.05)
0-2 @ 9.32% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-3 @ 6.57% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 6.17% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.5% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 3.26% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-4 @ 3.06% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.74% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.3% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 58.67%

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Form Guide
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 3-0 Istra 1961
Saturday, December 16 at 1.50pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 0-0 Istra 1961
Saturday, December 9 at 1.50pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 2-0 Varazdin
Friday, December 1 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-2 Hajduk Split
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rudes 0-4 Istra 1961
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 2-0 Slaven Koprivnica
Sunday, November 5 at 4.10pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 0-3 NK Lokomotiva
Tuesday, January 23 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 0-0 Hajduk Split
Sunday, December 17 at 4.15pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 KF Ballkani
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 Rudes
Saturday, December 9 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 0-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Monday, December 4 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Astana 0-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Thursday, November 30 at 3.30pm in Europa Conference League


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