SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Sadd win with a probability of 51.66%. A win for Al Gharafa had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Sadd win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.7%) and 1-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Al Gharafa win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Sadd would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Sadd | Draw | Al Gharafa |
51.66% ( -0.2) | 21.62% ( 0.05) | 26.71% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 65.13% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.06% ( -0.12) | 33.93% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.21% ( -0.13) | 55.79% ( 0.13) |
| Al-Sadd Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.53% ( -0.1) | 13.46% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.54% ( -0.21) | 40.46% ( 0.2) |
| Al Gharafa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.26% ( 0.03) | 24.74% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.71% ( 0.05) | 59.29% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Sadd | Draw | Al Gharafa |
| 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 4% Total : 51.66% | 1-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.03% ( -0)Other @ 0.4% Total : 21.62% | 1-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 26.71% |
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