SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wakrah win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Al-Rayyan had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Wakrah win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.72%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Al-Rayyan win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Wakrah would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Wakrah | Draw | Al-Rayyan |
43.33% ( 0.08) | 23.05% ( -0.04) | 33.63% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 64.32% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.15% ( 0.15) | 36.85% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.97% ( 0.16) | 59.03% ( -0.16) |
| Al Wakrah Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.49% ( 0.09) | 17.52% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.97% ( 0.16) | 48.03% ( -0.16) |
| Al-Rayyan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.97% ( 0.04) | 22.03% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.65% ( 0.07) | 55.35% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Wakrah | Draw | Al-Rayyan |
| 2-1 @ 8.86% 1-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.04% Total : 43.33% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.04% | 1-2 @ 7.69% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.45% Total : 33.63% |
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