Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 57.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 18.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
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