SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 46.71%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Baltika had a probability of 26.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Baltika win it was 1-0 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Baltika | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
26.55% ( 0.04) | 26.74% ( -0) | 46.71% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.03% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.67% ( 0.03) | 56.33% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.64% ( 0.03) | 77.36% ( -0.03) |
| Baltika Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.28% ( 0.05) | 36.72% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.49% ( 0.05) | 73.51% ( -0.05) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.89% | 24.11% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.59% ( -0) | 58.41% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Baltika | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 8.87% 2-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.5% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.48% ( 0)Other @ 1.82% Total : 26.55% | 1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.74% | 0-1 @ 12.59% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.97% 0-2 @ 8.96% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.26% 0-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.51% 0-4 @ 1.51% ( -0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 46.7% |
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