SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 61.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Baltika had a probability of 16.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.22%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Baltika win it was 1-0 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Baltika | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
16.56% ( 0.89) | 21.57% ( 0.32) | 61.87% ( -1.21) |
| Both teams to score 49.9% ( 0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.07% ( 0.25) | 46.93% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.82% ( 0.23) | 69.18% ( -0.23) |
| Baltika Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.45% ( 1.31) | 41.55% ( -1.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.96% ( 1.13) | 78.04% ( -1.13) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.37% ( -0.3) | 14.62% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.26% ( -0.57) | 42.74% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Baltika | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 1-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.78% Total : 16.56% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.91% Total : 21.57% | 0-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 11.22% ( -0.36)1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 7.2% ( -0.31)1-3 @ 6.32% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 3.46% ( -0.19)1-4 @ 3.04% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 1.33% ( -0.09)1-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.48% Total : 61.86% |
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