SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 5 | 7 | 10 |
| 5 | Dynamo Moscow | 5 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Sochi | 5 | -2 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spartak Moscow | 5 | 11 | 13 |
| 2 | Zenit St Petersburg | 5 | 9 | 11 |
| 3 | Rostov | 5 | 3 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 38%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dynamo Moscow in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
38% ( -0.99) | 26.65% ( 1.01) | 35.35% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.01% ( -3.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.03% ( -4.3) | 52.96% ( 4.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.43% ( -3.78) | 74.56% ( 3.78) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.9% ( -2.53) | 27.09% ( 2.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.52% ( -3.42) | 62.48% ( 3.42) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.34% ( -2.07) | 28.66% ( 2.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.52% ( -2.67) | 64.47% ( 2.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.96) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.25)2-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.39)3-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.39)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.22)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.12% Total : 37.99% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.53) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( 1.23)2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.48)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.23)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.64% | 0-1 @ 9.7% ( 1.05) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.33)1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.25)0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.34)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.66% Total : 35.35% |
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