Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for CSKA Moscow had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Krasnodar in this match.
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