SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 10 | 12 | 20 |
| 4 | FC Krasnodar | 9 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 9 | 10 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Orenburg | 9 | -14 | 9 |
| 13 | Khimki | 9 | -6 | 8 |
| 14 | Fakel | 9 | -7 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 57.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 19.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Khimki win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Khimki |
57.49% ( -0.29) | 22.67% ( 0.15) | 19.84% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 52.52% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.47% ( -0.49) | 46.53% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.19% ( -0.47) | 68.8% ( 0.46) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.07% ( -0.27) | 15.92% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.82% ( -0.5) | 45.18% ( 0.49) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.47% ( -0.15) | 37.53% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.69% ( -0.15) | 74.31% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Khimki |
| 1-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.29% Total : 57.47% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.67% | 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.72% 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.6% Total : 19.84% |
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