SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Rostov win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sochi in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sochi | Draw | Rostov |
47.8% ( -0.56) | 24.76% ( 0.09) | 27.43% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 54.71% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.06% ( -0.05) | 47.94% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.89% ( -0.04) | 70.11% ( 0.04) |
| Sochi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.9% ( -0.25) | 20.1% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.65% ( -0.41) | 52.35% ( 0.41) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.48% ( 0.34) | 31.52% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.08% ( 0.4) | 67.91% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sochi | Draw | Rostov |
| 1-0 @ 10.16% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 47.8% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.76% | 0-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.8% Total : 27.43% |
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