SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 41.34%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dynamo Moscow in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
32.52% ( -0.44) | 26.14% ( 0.08) | 41.34% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 53.04% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.61% ( -0.45) | 51.38% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.8% ( -0.4) | 73.2% ( 0.39) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.32% ( -0.52) | 29.68% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.26% ( -0.63) | 65.73% ( 0.63) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.43% ( -0.02) | 24.57% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.94% ( -0.02) | 59.05% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.42% Total : 32.52% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.65% Total : 41.33% |
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