SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Fakel | 7 | -7 | 4 |
| 15 | Ural Yekaterinburg | 6 | -10 | 1 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 6 | -11 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spartak Moscow | 7 | 13 | 16 |
| 2 | Zenit St Petersburg | 6 | 11 | 14 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 6 | 9 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 67.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 12.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.74%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 1-0 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
12.84% ( -0.1) | 19.37% ( -0.06) | 67.78% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 47.69% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55% ( 0.03) | 45% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.65% ( 0.03) | 67.35% ( -0.03) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.35% ( -0.13) | 45.64% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.56% ( -0.1) | 81.44% ( 0.1) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.73% ( 0.05) | 12.27% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.99% ( 0.1) | 38.01% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 1-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.17% Total : 12.84% | 1-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.77% Total : 19.37% | 0-2 @ 12.32% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 11.74% 1-2 @ 9.67% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 8.62% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 6.76% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 4.52% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 3.55% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 3.17% Total : 67.77% |
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