Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City
We said: Al-Ahli 2-0 Al Tai
Al-Ahli have been impressive at both ends of the pitch, and it is hard to bet against them coming out on top here. We expect the home side to have little problem easing past the threat of their visitors and securing maximum points in the end.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 68.52%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Al Tai had a probability of 12.49%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for an Al Tai win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Al-Ahli in this match.
| Result |
| Al-Ahli | Draw | Al Tai |
68.52% ( 0.31) | 18.99% ( 0.01) | 12.49% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 47.91% ( -0.99) |
| 55.86% ( -0.81) | 44.14% ( 0.81) |
| 33.48% ( -0.79) | 66.52% ( 0.8) |
| 88.19% ( -0.15) | 11.81% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.95% ( -0.32) | 37.05% ( 0.32) |
| 54.33% ( -1.03) | 45.67% ( 1.03) |
