Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 25
Mar 29, 2024 at 7pm UK
Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium
We said: Al Ettifaq 1-1 Al-Ahli
Both these sides come into this match carrying decent form since the New Year and are in need of all three points. Despite the gap in the table, these teams are very closely matched on paper and, like the reverse fixture, we feel there will be nothing to separate them at the final whistle.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 48.97%. A win for Al Ettifaq had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Al Ettifaq win was 2-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result |
| Al Ettifaq | Draw | Al-Ahli |
27.1% ( -0.04) | 23.92% ( -0.02) | 48.97% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 57.24% ( 0.01) |
| 55.52% ( 0.04) | 44.47% ( -0.04) |
| 33.15% ( 0.04) | 66.84% ( -0.04) |
| 70.03% ( -0.01) | 29.96% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.92% ( -0.01) | 66.07% ( 0.01) |
| 81.73% ( 0.04) | 18.27% ( -0.04) |
