Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 7
Sep 22, 2023 at 4pm UK
Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium
We said: Al Riyadh 1-1 Al Fayha
Al Riyadh have struggled to contain some of the Pro League's better outfits over the past month, but a home tie with Al Fayha represents an opportunity to earn at least a point.
That being said, the visitors will view this contest as one they must win if they have ambitions of challenging at the top end of the standings, although we are expecting a share of the spoils on Friday night.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Fayha win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Fayha win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Al Riyadh win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Fayha would win this match.
| Result |
| Al Riyadh | Draw | Al Fayha |
33.34% ( 0.11) | 27.18% ( -0.18) | 39.48% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 50.01% ( 0.57) |
| 44.64% ( 0.7) | 55.36% ( -0.71) |
| 23.44% ( 0.57) | 76.56% ( -0.58) |
| 68.87% ( 0.43) | 31.13% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.54% ( 0.5) | 67.46% ( -0.5) |
| 72.61% ( 0.37) | 27.39% ( -0.37) |
