SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
41.26% ( -0.06) | 26.23% ( 0.01) | 32.5% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.75% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.25% ( -0.04) | 51.75% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.48% ( -0.03) | 73.52% ( 0.03) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.23% ( -0.05) | 24.77% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.66% ( -0.07) | 59.34% ( 0.07) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.13% ( 0.01) | 29.87% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.03% ( 0.02) | 65.96% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 2.59% Total : 41.26% | 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.22% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 32.51% |
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