Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 53.87%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 23.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 1-2 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
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