Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 36.57%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.