Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Greenock Morton	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
40.81% ( -0.11)	25.88% ( -0.04)	33.31% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 54.13% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.92% (

0.24)

50.08% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.95% (

0.22)

72.05% (

-0.21)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.74% (

0.05)

24.26% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.38% (

0.07)

58.62% (

-0.07)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.47% (

0.22)

28.53% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.69% (

0.28)

64.31% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Greenock Morton 40.81%

Dunfermline Athletic 33.31%

Draw 25.88%

Greenock Morton	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 40.81%	1-1 @ 12.29% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.88%	0-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.31%