Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 50.04%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
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