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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 90.65%. A draw had a probability of 6.7% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 2.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10.83%) and 2-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.13%), while for a St Mirren win it was 1-2 (0.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | St Mirren |
90.65% ( -0.01) | 6.68% ( 0) | 2.67% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 42.28% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 78.83% ( -0.01) | 21.17% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 60.26% ( -0.01) | 39.74% ( 0.01) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.32% ( -0) | 2.68% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 87.62% ( -0.01) | 12.38% ( 0.01) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.45% ( 0) | 56.55% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.21% ( 0) | 88.79% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | St Mirren |
| 3-0 @ 11.97% 4-0 @ 10.83% 2-0 @ 9.93% ( 0)5-0 @ 7.84% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.83% ( 0)4-1 @ 6.18% 2-1 @ 5.66% ( 0)1-0 @ 5.49% ( 0)6-0 @ 4.73% ( -0)5-1 @ 4.47% ( -0)6-1 @ 2.7% ( -0)7-0 @ 2.45% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.76% 7-1 @ 1.39% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.27% 8-0 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 4.09% Total : 90.64% | 1-1 @ 3.13% ( 0) 2-2 @ 1.61% ( 0)0-0 @ 1.52% ( 0)Other @ 0.42% Total : 6.68% | Other @ 2.67% Total : 2.67% |
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