Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 59.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 16.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.94%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.