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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 68.3%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 13.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for a Motherwell win it was 2-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Celtic |
13.54% ( 0.24) | 18.16% ( 0.21) | 68.3% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 54.02% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.28% ( -0.43) | 37.72% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.04% ( -0.46) | 59.96% ( 0.46) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.07% ( 0.07) | 39.93% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.41% ( 0.06) | 76.59% ( -0.06) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.93% ( -0.22) | 10.08% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.8% ( -0.51) | 33.2% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | Celtic |
| 2-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.7% Total : 13.54% | 1-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.16% | 0-2 @ 10.59% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.73% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 8.11% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 7.44% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 4.65% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 4.27% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 2.14% ( -0.06)1-5 @ 1.96% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.81% Total : 68.3% |
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