Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartans would win this match.
