SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.5%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Falkirk |
39.79% ( -0.5) | 24.12% ( 0.02) | 36.09% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 60.91% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.45% ( -0) | 41.55% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.05% ( -0) | 63.95% ( 0.01) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.98% ( -0.23) | 21.02% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.19% ( -0.37) | 53.81% ( 0.37) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.12% ( 0.26) | 22.88% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.37% ( 0.38) | 56.63% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Falkirk |
| 2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.76% Total : 39.8% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.81% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.12% | 1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.31% Total : 36.09% |
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