Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 51.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 23.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 1-0 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.

Result
Alloa Athletic	Draw	Falkirk
23.23% ( 0.01)	25.06% ( -0.13)	51.71% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 49.8% (

0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.54% (

0.51)

52.46% (

-0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.87% (

0.44)

74.13% (

-0.44)

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.47% (

0.29)

37.53% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.69% (

0.29)

74.31% (

-0.28)

Falkirk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.72% (

0.26)

20.28% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.36% (

0.4)

52.64% (

-0.4)

Score Analysis

Alloa Athletic 23.23%

Falkirk 51.71%

Draw 25.06%

Alloa Athletic	Draw	Falkirk
1-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 23.23%	1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.06%	0-1 @ 12.14% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 9.69% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 5.15% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.05% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 2.06% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.01% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.66% Total : 51.71%