SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 94.74%. A draw had a probability of 4.2% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 1.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (13.76%) and 2-0 (10.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.96%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 0-1 (0.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Edinburgh City |
94.74% ( -0.12) | 4.17% ( 0.1) | 1.08% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 28.83% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 79.46% ( -0.44) | 20.53% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 61.15% ( -0.62) | 38.85% ( 0.62) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.95% ( -0.07) | 2.05% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 89.99% ( -0.26) | 10.01% ( 0.26) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 29.43% ( -0.1) | 70.57% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 4.83% ( -0.04) | 95.17% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Edinburgh City |
| 3-0 @ 14.15% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 13.76% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.19)5-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.08)6-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.11)1-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.02)7-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.04)6-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.05)8-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.06)7-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.04)Other @ 5.87% Total : 94.72% | 1-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.77% Total : 4.17% | Other @ 1.08% Total : 1.08% |
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