Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 47.24%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hamilton Academical in this match.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
